You know TB, I've always argued that Michael's trip to Cuba was insane. Doing it to string Roth along or to find out who was the traitor in his family was not worth his life. Despite Michael's apparent knowledge of Roth's murder plan for him in Cuba, Michael could not be sure that he wouldn't be murdered or imprisoned otherwise. There was no reason for him to hang around for New Year's Eve? If he knew he was going to murdered on his way home that night, how did he think he was going to be able to simply and safely exit the party? If Batista did not abdicate, Michael would have remained at the party and his murder would have taken place, right? I know that it was all FFC's creation for dramatic purposes, but it is a stretch.