As in previous years, a website is tracking Hall of Fame votes as baseball writers announce who is on their ballots:

https://onedrive.live.com/view.aspx?resid=F2E5D8FC5199DFAF!7731&ithint=file,xlsx&app=Excel&authkey=!AE2Lu5P1f92OW8o

After 98 recorded ballots, more than 20% of the expected total, there could be some dramatic changes this year:

Bagwell 92% (finished with 72% last year)
Raines 91% (70%)
Rodriguez 86%

75% needed for induction.

Hoffman 74% (67%)
Guerrero 74%
Bonds 73% (44%)
Clemens 73% (45%)
Martinez 66% (43%)
Mussina 60% (43%)
Schilling 53% (52%)
Ramirez 35%
Smith 31% (34%)
Walker 22% (16%)
Sosa 14% (7%)
Sheffield 11% (12%)
Kent 11% (17%)
McGriff 11% (21%)
Wagner 10% (11%)
Posada 6%

The tracker doesn't claim to be a predictor. In the past, the final tally for most players is 5% or so lower than percentage they received on votes that were made public. Right now Bagwell, Raines (in his tenth and last year on the ballot), and Ivan Rodriguez (first year) look in pretty good shape. Trevor Hoffman looks doubtful with 74%, but last year his vote was odd because he actually underperformed in the ballots that were made public. He may have enough lurking votes to squeak through. Vlad Guerrero is also on the ballot for the first time. At the very least, he's making a very strong start.

Next is a mind-boggling change - Bonds and Clemens at 73% each. They hung at around 50% of the public vote last year and finished around 45%. I doubt if many people have changed their minds about either the rightness of PED use or the allegations against Bonds and Clemens, so it looks like this is a pretty strong reaction to the induction of Bud Selig, and maybe Tony LaRussa or Mike Piazza. Even Sosa is doing much better, although from a much lower base.

If they could induct Bagwell, Raines, Rodriguez, and Hoffman this time around, it would go a long way in eliminating the backlog of deserving players that we've seen for the last few years.