This is all happening very quickly, and my guess is the next time around the Supremes are going to give enforcement in all fifty states to gay marriage to those who moved from those places or who were married there, and who live in backwaters like Florida.
I think the Court will extend recognition of gay marriage but only per Article IV's full faith and credit clause. Total recognition of gay marriage will be a function of the 14th amendment's interpretation and will come down to Justice Kennedy.
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