I doubt McConnell looses his seat, I don't see Kentucky voters getting rid of him even in this situation. In addition I don't see why the Democrats would pick up governorships when A) they don't have anything to do with this shutdown B) Rick Scott is doing fine. Although McDonnell is at risk for allegedly receiving improper funds from a Virginia businessman, the unemployment rate has dropped under his tenure.

Fact is the Republican party isn't going away, but they do need to sort out their priorities.