No Vinny, FLorida is a weird state. All the NY people are in Dade and Broward counties in the Southeast, and they will vote Obama by more than 55%. In the midddle is the I-4 corridor, which stretches from Daytona through Orlando to Tampa Bay. There are midwest transplants, people in NASA, toursim and others in Orlando, ditto Tampa Bay. This could go either way and usually does. Obama carried it last time this time he trails here. North of I-4 corridor, it might as well be Alabama.