I think it will all come down to the economy. If it continues its slow but steady improvement, the President will be re-elected. If something unforeseen happens, or gasoline prices derail the recovery, the Republicans have an excellent chance.
That's exactly right, Babe.
A year ago people thought Obama had no shot to be re-elected. A month ago he was a shoo-in. Polls mean nothing. It's all going to boil down to the economy. And if it stalls, Romney might just win.