I think it will all come down to the economy. If it continues its slow but steady improvement, the President will be re-elected. If something unforeseen happens, or gasoline prices derail the recovery, the Republicans have an excellent chance.
That's exactly right, Babe.
A year ago people thought Obama had no shot to be re-elected. A month ago he was a shoo-in. Polls mean nothing. It's all going to boil down to the economy. And if it stalls, Romney might just win.
The economy will have nothing to do with why Obama wins again.
It's all about demographics. He's going to get a huge minority turnout in Florida, North Carolina, and Virginia and win.
That's why Obama went on Univision to say that Romney supports racial profiling. That's why Obama got involved in the Trayvon case. He knows it helps mobilize black voters, which is just what he wants. Especially in a swing state like Florida.
