Talking in terms of made guys, any opinions?

One fed said 25 which shocked people, some have said about 80-under 100 for the past decade, some people split the difference roughly to 50, and one list has about 200 guys on it (not unrealistic for Chicago's population, but way divergent from the other numbers thrown out there).

Well I guess it is to Chicago's credit they are able to remain so secretive, but any opinions on which number sounds the most likely and why?