EDIT: Re-reading the post, it kind of sounds like Im attacking you Sonny. Thats was very much NOT my intention. You're actually one of the better posters, and Ive liked you well enough since Ive started reading your posts. My beef is more about people going out on limbs by claiming they've got it all figured out, until the next development, when they either admit they're as lost as anyone else, or dig themselves deeper by trying to weave the event into supporting their claims.
I reacted to you're post because I felt it was pointed to me, but I guess I'm a bit too paranoid.
Anyway, you're right about what you state. And I've said a lot myself lately, sometimes it's better to cool down for a while a reconsider things, instead of making hasty conclusions. I should follow antimafia's example.