Sadly, TIS, the show can be predictable because the writers and directors of the Sopranos are now almost all working on Mad Men. See below for the economics of predictability.

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Just like Vito getting caught giving the secutiry guard a BJ, Sal gets caught as well. They give a plaque about authority to Pete Campbell, just like how Tony Blundetto got a plaque saying "cuz I'm the boss, that's why!" In season 2, nearly every major storyline (with the major exception being Don's California excursion) could be predicted just by being an avid fan of The Sopranos. Don't get me wrong, Mad Men is a fine show (better than most others on TV); I just don't believe it deserves as much credit as it's been getting.