Have to agree with plaw, Don Cardi, Turnbull and all those who think that Fredo's fte was sealed with the New Year's kiss. Is there a small clue when after the "I'm smaaht" rant Michael says to Neri "I don't want anything to happen to him while my mother's alive"? For me this could suggest that Michael and Neri has already discussed the "what" would happen to Fredo and now Michael was simply confirming the "when".