If the Yankees hang on and win the division I think they have to play Texas in the first round. While it is tough being a wild card, in this case the second place team in the AL East may have an easier time of it in its first round.
Rays will fade after this season. Carl Crawford probably going to the Yankees, and because of poor attendance and a stadium controversy, the owners are cutting the payroll. If that happens Carlos Pena will also go, and Evan Longoria wont be far behind. Those are the core of this team, and if Boston doesnt shell out some $$ for youth, the AL East will belong to the Yankees for the foreseeable future.