Well considering your democratic system, he only needs confidence of your Supreme Ayatollah to stay in power, regardless of the vote.
Not really, he needs the vote and should win the election if he wants to stay. The fact that the Ayatollah is the comander in chief and the president has a very limited maneuver though is a whole other issue.
"Fire cannot kill a dragon." -Daenerys Targaryen, Game of Thrones
