http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2008/WV08.html
Obama up 8 in West Virginia? I find it hard to believe, but that's what a new poll shows:
West Virginia
Interview dates: October 4-8, 2008
Sample size: 600 likely voters
Margin of error: ± 4 percentage points, 95% of the time
Question wording and responses:
If the general election were being held today between John McCain for president and Sarah Palin for vice president, the Republicans, and Barack Obama for president and Joe Biden for vice president, the Democrats, for whom would you vote - McCain and Palin, Obama and Biden (names rotated), or someone else?
Obama 50%
McCain 42%
Just read that 6 minutes ago, and I am shocked.
And since
Likely Voters matter more in polling than
Registered Voters....McCain is in deep dodo. Look at this chart, spelling out how Obama has (apparently) closed the gap in the very red Bush state of West Virginia from 2000 and 2004:
linkSo from 15 points in April, McCain is just ONE point ahead.