Originally Posted By: Just Lou
http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2008/WV08.html

Obama up 8 in West Virginia? I find it hard to believe, but that's what a new poll shows:



West Virginia

Interview dates: October 4-8, 2008

Sample size: 600 likely voters

Margin of error: ± 4 percentage points, 95% of the time

Question wording and responses:

If the general election were being held today between John McCain for president and Sarah Palin for vice president, the Republicans, and Barack Obama for president and Joe Biden for vice president, the Democrats, for whom would you vote - McCain and Palin, Obama and Biden (names rotated), or someone else?

Obama 50%
McCain 42%


Just read that 6 minutes ago, and I am shocked. eek

And since Likely Voters matter more in polling than Registered Voters....McCain is in deep dodo. Look at this chart, spelling out how Obama has (apparently) closed the gap in the very red Bush state of West Virginia from 2000 and 2004:

link

So from 15 points in April, McCain is just ONE point ahead.

Last edited by J Geoff; 10/10/08 01:59 PM. Reason: URL disrupted page layout