Keep in mind that of all the people who went to the polls to vote for president in 2000, most noted for Gore. In 2004, Kerry lost the popular vote only by 3 million votes. Of course, the intervening variable affecting that election was 9/11. Sans such a variable this time, it appears that the Nation's voters are moving left. The War in Iraq is unlikely to improve between between now and November; the economy is unlikely to improve during that interval enough to significantly increase consumer confidence. For the first time since the 1968 election, rank and file Democrats who voted Republican are being attracted back to the Democratic Party and the youth vote is decidedly Democratic.

More importantly though, the Republican Party is losing its identity. As Newt Gingrich recently opined, without a drastic shift in allegiance, the Republican Party is facing a devastating Congressional loss in this upcoming election.