As was pointed out earlier, the election, I think, may well be determined by the states, which typically aren't locked in as a Dem or Rep state. These include, but are not necessarily linited to, Florida, Ohio, Missouri, Pennsylvania, Iowa, Colorado, Nevada, Virginia and Wisconsin. Of those states, I think the Democratic candidate wins all, except Florida, Missouri and Virginia, and wins the election with about 294 electoral votes.
I will predict that the state with the closest race will be Missouri.
Keep in mind it is very early and a lot can happen.
True. But in the meantime, here are some of the primary voting stats by party. As you can see, the Dems are doing pretty good.
Date State Turnout
Jan. 3 Iowa (D)118,696 (R)354,355
Jan. 8 New Hampshire (R)288,058 (D)527,376
Jan. 15 Michigan (R)592,261 (D)1,481,761
Jan. 19 Nevada (D)44,315 (R)161,874
South Carolina (R)532,468 (D)978,145
Jan. 29 Florida (D)1,924,346 (R)4,239,350
Feb. 1-3
Alabama (D)554,248 (R)1,090,541
Alaska (D)15,000 (R Proj.)23,621
Arizona (D)527,335 (R)970,659
Arkansas (D)226,001 (R)780 (G)537,696
California (D)2,932,811 (R)46,022 (A)35,844 (G) 16,858 (L)6,444 (P)9,068,415
Colorado (D)65,400 (R)185,401
Connecticut (D)146,333 (R)483,602
Delaware (D)49,281 (R)143,956
Georgia (D)963,447 (R)2,024,214
