That's incredible DC! I have the same feeling.

If they killed off one of Tony's children, especially Meadow, which alot of spoiler threads have suggested, it would be too blatant a ripoff of GODFATHER III. But if Carmela was killed, who in Tony's eyes is an innocent (in spite of her staying because she loves the lavish lifestyle), Tony would NEVER get over it.

We all pretty much agree that Chase will punish Tony for his sins, but would he go that far ? We'll see.