The more and more I think about it... I believe that Fredo may have been making a run at the Corleone donship. I know that it is common belief that he was not ambitious, intelligent, etc. enough, but there are far too many coincidences for me to believe that he was merely a pawn in a much bigger scheme of things.
"From now on, nothing goes down unless I'm involved. No blackjack no dope deals, no nothing. A nickel bag gets sold in the park, I want in. You guys got fat while everybody starved on the street. Now it's my turn." (King of New York)
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