Here's a quick and dirty projection - a lot quicker and dirtier than I like to get, because it's based on few probably somewhat faulty assumptions.

To wit:

1) That everyone will make it to the maximum of 1458 offensive games (clearly that is not gonna happen, and in some cases may already be a impossibility based on the way some teams are presently constituted.)

2) That each offenive game is worth 3.5 points.

3) That everyone will make it to the maximum of 162 potching starts.

4) That each pitching start is worth 13.0 points.

5) Relief Pitching, the most inpredictable category by far, will be equal the rest of the way.


Look over the chart, plug in your own numbers, figure RP any way you want to, share your conclusions or don't.

But let someone try and tell me that it's not a lot closer than the raw points standings.....

Code:
                      JG     JL     TM     DB     PL
- 
Raw Score            4887   4884   4679   4701   4530
-
Off Games            (557)  (535)  (602)  (580)  (561)
Remaining
-
Add'l Projected      1950   1873   2100   2030   1964
Offensive Points
-
Pitching Starts       (31)   (44)   (41)   (47)   (55)
Remaining
-
Add'l Projected        403    572    533    611    715
PS Points
-
Total Projected       7240   7329   7312   7342   7209
Score

"Difficult....not impossible"