I know it'll bore the rest of you, but it fascinates me and even though JG doesn't believe in projections or predictions based on projections, I'm pretty sure he'll be taking a peek every day also..
Nice gain for PL yesterday, thanks to Cappy.
Offense: PL uses up two more games than JG, but gains 15 points, about 8 or so over his average.
So we'll call that +8 for PL on offense.
(JG has used 748 games, and PL 745, so if JG thinks it's gonna be tough for PL to make up his missing games, I guess he must think it's gonna be just as tough for him to do it.)
Starting Pitching: PL uses one start while JG doesn't use any.
But in case you missed it, that start was worth 41 points to PL.
Based on his average of about 1s FPs per start, that works out to +27 for PL on starting pitching.
Relief Pitching:+9 for JG
New Projection:
PL has 3 offensive games to make up, worth 10 points.
PL has 16 Pitching Starts to make up. Based on the current average of his 5 starters of 13.64 FPPG, those 16 starts figure to be worth 218 points.
So, adding 228 points to PL’s raw score, that leaves him 40 points behind JG, plus whatever JG can add to his lead in Relief Pitching.
I'm also figuring to do much better on offense the rest of the way.
If you look at my offensive totals for last month, I had a whole bunch of big name guys who did basically nothing, which was the main factor contributing to my 5th place standing.
I expect them to all do better the rest of the season.
Guys like Tejada, Jones, and Burrell didn't just lose it over night (I hope).
