Now that you're back MC, let's take a look at your early season predictions:
Code:
MC Predicts Actual
-
Johnson 9-8 11-6 Doing better than expected
Mussina 14-7 10-7 May win more games, but with a lower winning %
Brown 1-3 4-7 Pitched more than you expected, but as badly
Pavano 16-10 4-6 Much worse than you expected
Wright 10-11 2-2 No chance for 21 decisions, or even 21 starts
Others 32-41 20-21 Not too far off the mark here
-
Total 82-80 56-49
.506 .533
Well, you figured Johnson would be a disappointment, and you got that part right, his 11-6 record notwithstanding.
You're right around it on Mussina's performance. But who knows? He could finish 19-9 or 18-10, and he could wind up 14-14 or 13-15 if the team falls apart
Brown too. Obviously, you figured him to be injured, and he is. He's just pitched more than you thought he would.
You missed the mark completely on Pavano, the only one, really, that you were completely off on.
If Wright didn't get hurt I don't think he would have done much better, and possibly worse, than 10-11.
You predicted the Yankees would go 82-80 (.506), and they're 56-49 (.533), so they're doing somewhat better than you predicted.
However, to finish at 82-80 they need to go 26-31 (.456) the rest of the way, which is certainly within the realm of possibility. If they go, say, 30-27 or so, which is not unlikely, they'd finish at 86-76 (.531), and you'd only be five games off on your prediction.
So far, I'd give you an overall grade of C+ or maybe B-. The only one you really missed big was Pavano. Without him, you get a solid B+.