Quote:
Originally posted by J Geoff:
I ask our probability peeps this: Are the odds of correctly picking all teams CORRECTLY (given that you thought about the match-ups) the same as mistakenly picking them all wrong?
If there are 14 games, then the odds are 1/2 to the 13th power.

Or, one chance in 16,384.

When you say that you "thought about the match-ups", that presumes that by thinking about them you increase your chances of picking correctly.

But absent any evidence to the contrary, and no insult intended, I don't think it makes any difference in your case how much you think about it.

So, the chances of getting them all right are the same as getting them all wrong.

I'm not sure how to compute the odds of going, say, 3-11 or 11-3, though.

"Difficult....not impossible"