Just my evaluation. I really really think that everyone (Dems & Reps) are going to be surprised when Hillary doesn't win the "nomination". I've browsed many a leftwing political blogs, talked to fellow lefties (I assuming autommatically that a righty wouldn't vote for her). I think the general consensus is that she'll get it, but I don't think she will for two reasons:
1. A lot of people think she's a bitch

and just don't like her, and will not vote for her on that basis.
2. We are not quite ready for a woman President (but it's getting close)
If, bowever, I am wrong and she runs against Rice, I think Hillary would win.
I'm hopeful (and somewhat confident) that the next President will be a Democrat or maybe even an Independent. I think many people want total change.
TIS