So I haven’t heard any updates on a verdict. My experience with juries and verdicts is that I am completely unable to predict what a jury is going to do. There are all these theories like, if the jury comes back guilty they won’t look at your client before the verdict is announced.

The one tried and true way to predict a verdict is to watch the bailiff/court officer where they stand when the verdict is being announced. If it’s guilty they will stand directly behind your client ready to snap the cuffs on if they aren’t already in custody.

In terms of mistrials/hung juries I think it’s worse to the defense than to the prosecutor. Reason is that the defenses only real advantage is surprise and on a retrial you already shot your bullets once so the prosecutor can fashion their entire case around your defense.

My bet is that they are hung. My bet is also that the United States retries this case.