Originally Posted by Turnbull
Originally Posted by JCrusher
I still think Roth’s plan was the best and if not by pure luck Roth wins. If Kay doesn’t mention the drapes Mike is dead and if Fredo doesn’t tell Mike about the Senate lawyer Mike goes to jail

Yes indeed. Roth's plans were brilliant, and he had backups for all of them--even arranging, after his stroke, near murder, and escape from Cuba, to nearly nail Michael at the Senate hearing.

Roth was the scalpel. Barzini was the blunt instrument. He telegraphed his intentions by horning in on Corleone territory, even before Vito died. That's when Michael and Vito knew Barzini would try to kill Michael after Vito died. The only unknown at that point was the identity of the traitor who'd set up a meeting. That warm scene between Barzini and Tessio at Vito's burial answered that question. Barzini was a dead man at that point.

Roth's scalpel was not sharp enough to cut through Michael

As we debated in Why the Tahoe assassins? thread:
Roth's plan had too many variables and the New York connection to finger Pentangeli spectacularly failed

Why would Roth have backup plans? Did he foresee Mike would survive by pure luck!

Roth arranging, it's his kinda town Havana Military car plan, though straightaway Red flags after the failed Tahoe shooting Yes indeed but don't know Michael's Senate hearing -- after his stroke, near murder, and escape from Cuba, his priority would have been to avoid coming back to the US and to finding a country that would take him, to save his own ass

Senate hearing as you posted Drama trumps logic every time.

Mike was never going to jail because of Frankie's brother's presence who was already on his way

Michael like father like son
I reckon, Vito the evil, ruthless, murderous original villain is seen through rose-colored glasses. He too was a cold blooded murderer.